Ben Bajarin

Ben studies how technology transitions reshape competitive advantage and market structure, from semiconductors and AI infrastructure to adoption and business strategy.

Report · April 22, 2026

Foundry Economics in the AI Age

A fresh perspective is needed on foundry economics at the leading edge. For years, the industry lacked a clear cost-per-transistor framework, even as the economic foundation of Moore’s Law was becoming less durable. That framework held through N3E. It no longer holds at N2 and A16, and the evidence

Read
Report · April 22, 2026

Neoclouds and the Three Business Models

Neoclouds sit at the center of the AI infrastructure durability debate because they are increasingly the external channel through which hyperscalers secure additional power and compute to convert demand into revenue. CoreWeave ended 2025 with $66.8 billion in contracted backlog. Nebius signed a deal

Read
Report · April 11, 2026

Liquid Cooling: The Thermal Prerequisite for AI Infrastructure Scale

Prerequisite: 800 VDC: The Inflection Point Reshaping Datacenter Power and AI Infrastructure (March 2026). This report builds directly on that analysis and assumes familiarity with the power architecture transition it describes. 800 VDC: The Inflection Point Reshaping Datacenter Power and AI Infrast

Read
Report · March 25, 2026

Arm’s Move Into Merchant Silicon Is About Escaping the Revenue Ceiling

For those of us who have covered Arm for decades, we remember the days when this was a $500-600M yearly revenue company, and hardly growing. How times have changed. The evolution of Arm, now clearly framed as Arm 2.0, has been years in the making, with all the stakeholders recognizing that an IP bus

Read
Report · December 18, 2025

The GPU’s Second Act: From Pixels to Tokens

The Architecture Graphics Built The GPU exists because graphics demanded a very specific kind of silicon—hardware capable of running identical mathematical operations across massive data volumes in parallel, repeatedly, without stalling. What looked like “drawing pictures” was always a continuous si

Read
Report · December 8, 2025

The Semiconductor Gigacycle

The semiconductor industry has experienced cycles of varying magnitude throughout its history. The PC era brought sustained growth. The smartphone revolution created what many called a supercycle. The cloud computing buildout extended that expansion further. What is happening now is something catego

Read
Report · November 21, 2025

The Snapdragon X2 Elite Power Paradigm: Unbundling the Electron

In mobile computing, performance is defined by the energy cost of operations. The limiting factors for modern Systems on a Chip (SoC) are thermal headroom and battery constraints, shifting the architectural focus to the infrastructure that feeds the silicon. The power delivery network (PDN) design f

Read
Report · November 20, 2025

CoreWeave and the Integration of AI Infrastructure

In the broader narrative of the AI boom, a new category of infrastructure provider has emerged, colloquially termed the “neocloud.” The economic logic of the neocloud is, at first glance, simple arbitrage: the hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) are supply-constrained and expensive, creating an

Read
Report · October 27, 2025

Bubble or Buildout? A Guide for the Next Data Center Era

The easy story is “this looks bubbly.” Spending is massive AND front-loaded, the narrative is high, and a handful of winners dominate the landscape. Hyperscaler capital spending is tracking to roughly $424B in 2025 and stepping toward ~$500B in 2026, after topping $100B in a single quarter earlier t

Read
Report · October 7, 2025

AI Is Our Electricity Moment: Why Productivity Follows Process

Ariticle Summary/Thesis Every transformative technology arrives twice. First as hardware and headlines—motors, wires, GPUs, data centers—then, years later, as redesigned work that finally shows up in the productivity numbers. Electricity followed that arc. The earliest adopters simply swapped steam

Read